About This Case Study

This is a retrospective strategic analysis of a real communications challenge, not actual Comms Threader output. It illustrates how strategic scaffolding structures thinking from problem to narrative.

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NHS England

The Expectation Gap After COVID

Agency: NHS England Communications Directorate
Year: 2022-present
Sector: Government & Public Sector / Healthcare

The Golden Thread

Problem: This is not a waiting list problem. It is an expectation recalibration problem. COVID elevated the NHS to the status of national religion, and the gap between that reverence and the reality of 7.6 million people waiting for treatment is unsustainable.

Tension: The public clapped for the NHS during COVID and now feels betrayed by waiting lists, staff shortages, and visibly struggling services. The emotional contract has been broken.

Message: For a public whose expectations of the NHS were set by a crisis that made the service feel sacred, NHS England must redefine the relationship between what the public expects and what the system can deliver.

Platform: Replace hero worship with an honest account of capacity, demand, and the choices society must make about what the NHS can realistically provide.

Story

The Brief: Post-COVID, NHS England faces record waiting lists (7.6 million), widespread industrial action, chronic staff shortages, and a public whose expectations were elevated by the pandemic’s clap-for-carers solidarity. The gap between public reverence for the NHS as an institution and public frustration with the NHS as a service is the defining communications challenge.

Challenge Reframe: This is not a waiting list problem. It is an expectation recalibration problem. COVID elevated the NHS to the status of national religion, and the gap between that reverence and the reality of 7.6 million people waiting for treatment is unsustainable.

Sector Convention: The NHS communicates through hero narratives (our amazing staff), operational updates (waiting time targets), and defensive statistics, while avoiding any honest conversation about what the system cannot do.

Audience

Priority Stakeholder: The General Public as Patients-in-Waiting

Stakeholder Tension: They believe the NHS should be there when they need it because they were told it always would be. They are discovering it is not, and they do not know whether to blame the government, the system, or themselves for expecting too much.

Message

Message Hierarchy: For a public that was promised universal healthcare and is experiencing rationed access, NHS England is the institution that tells the truth about what the system can and cannot deliver, because honest expectations are the foundation of sustainable public trust.

What We Won't Say: Our staff are heroes. The NHS is there for you. We are working hard to reduce waiting times.

Plan

Comms Direction: Shift from heroic reassurance to honest capacity communication, helping the public understand what the NHS can deliver now, what it cannot, and what choices would change that.

Frame: Narrative Territories

The Honest Waiting Room

Publish real-time, localised capacity data. Let patients see what is available, what is not, and why. Replace opaque waiting with informed waiting.

Feel: Practical, transparent, empowering

The National Conversation

Facilitate a public dialogue about what the NHS should prioritise. Make rationing decisions visible and democratic rather than hidden and administrative.

Feel: Democratic, brave, society-facing

The People Behind the Numbers

Tell specific, local stories of staff and patients navigating the system. Replace aggregate statistics with human reality.

Feel: Human, intimate, documentary

What Actually Happened

NHS England’s communications have largely continued the pre-existing pattern: hero narratives about staff, statistical updates on waiting list progress, and defensive positioning against government criticism. Industrial action by nurses, junior doctors, and ambulance staff dominated the narrative in 2023-2024. The public increasingly distinguished between the NHS as beloved institution and the NHS as struggling service. Satisfaction surveys hit record lows while support for the NHS as a principle remained high.

Why It Failed

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